We Michigan
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 76.3083Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A Michigan St B10 ( 4- 8, 74.1) 6-23 906 H No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 30-33 913 A Illinois B10 ( 9- 4, 83.8) 0-38 920 H Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 14-13 927 H Rhode Island 47-14 1004 A UMass IND ( 0-12, 48.7) 21- 3 1011 H Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 42- 0 1025 A MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 17-26 1101 H Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 24-21 1111 H Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 17-13 1118 A No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 35-19 1125 A Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 31-21 1206 H MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 23-13 1219 N Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 41- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 A Michigan St 6-23 -17 -3 --- -10.91
906 H No Texas 30-33 -3 -1 -1.81
913 A Illinois 0-38 -38 -13 -1.21
920 H Toledo 14-13 1 2 -0.60
1004 A UMass 21- 3 18 22 0.00
1011 H Ball St 42- 0 42 16 0.00
1025 A MiamiOH 17-26 -9 -3 -- -5.95
1101 H Cen Michigan 24-21 3 9 -- -5.96
1111 H Ohio 17-13 4 5 -1.27
1118 A No Illinois 35-19 16 7 +++ 7.49
1125 A Ea Michigan 31-21 10 4 +++ 6.07
1206 H MiamiOH 23-13 10 7 + 2.53
1219 N Kennesaw St 41- 6 35 2 +++ 11.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 A Michigan St 6-23 -17 -3 --- -10.91 1025 A MiamiOH 17-26 -9 -3 -- -5.95 1101 H Cen Michigan 24-21 3 9 -- -5.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1118 A No Illinois 35-19 16 7 +++ 7.49 1125 A Ea Michigan 31-21 10 4 +++ 6.07 1219 N Kennesaw St 41- 6 35 2 +++ 11.62 1206 H MiamiOH 23-13 10 7 + 2.53 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Michigan St ( 4- 8, 74.1) 6-23 -25.76 25.46 5.26 0.98 -10.05
3 H No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 30-33 -17.14 34.07 -5.26 0.98 -10.99
3 A Illinois ( 9- 4, 83.8) 0-38 -16.06 35.16 5.26 0.98 -5.30
3 H Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 14-13 -19.94 31.28 -5.26 0.98 51.05
3 A UMass ( 0-12, 48.7) 21- 3 -51.22 1.00 5.26 0.98 12.28
3 H Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 42- 0 -34.82 16.40 -5.26 0.98 21.86
3 A MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 17-26 -25.80 25.42 5.26 0.98 -10.07
3 H Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 24-21 -27.29 23.93 -5.26 0.98 36.62
3 H Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 17-13 -23.60 27.62 -5.26 0.98 43.86
3 A No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 35-19 -35.36 15.86 5.26 0.98 41.43
3 A Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 31-21 -32.78 18.44 5.26 0.98 46.49
3 H MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 23-13 -25.80 25.42 -5.26 0.98 39.54
3 N Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 41- 6 -25.97 25.25 -0.00 0.98 49.53
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306.23
|
winning pts = 342.6434 losing points = -36.4114
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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